Introduction
This page will contain resources related to the Probabilistic Forecast Use study that is conducted in 2012. Over time, resources will be added.
Presentations
Case study: US National Weather Service, NCRFC region
Date |
File |
|---|---|
February 6-10, 2012 |
|
February 10, 2012 |
|
May 14, 2012 |
Case study: Meuse
Date |
File |
|---|---|
February 14, 2012 |
|
February 14, 2012 |
|
February 14, 2012 |
|
June 8, 2012 |
Source of uncertainties in real-time flood risk management (in Dutch) |
June 8, 2012 |
Study deliverables
Date |
Title |
Downloads |
|---|---|---|
December 2012 |
ENS2PROBS: a Delft-FEWS add-on for converting ensemble forecasts to exceedence probabilities |
report, module |
Contact details
Jan Verkade, +31.88.335.8348 / 088-335.8348
Edwin Welles, +1-301-642-2505
Karel Heynert, +31.88.335.8486 / 088-335.8486
References and downloads
Ban, R. J., Andrew, J. T., Brown, B. G. and Changnon, D.: Completing the Forecast: Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty for Better Decisions Using Weather and Climate Forecasts, National Research Council Committee on Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty in Weather and Climate Forecasts, 2006.
Verkade, J. S.: On the value of flood warning systems, Master of Science dissertation, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands., 2008.
Verkade, J. S. and Werner, M. G. F.: Estimating the benefits of single value and probability forecasting for flood warning, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15(12), 3751-3765, doi:10.5194/hess-15-3751-2011, 2011.
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