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  • Background

Ensemble Streamflow Forecasting becomes a well-established technique in operational (flood) forecasting centers to assess forecast uncertainty. Currently, these forecasts are communicated to decision makers; however, taking decisions is still up to the subjective experience of the specific stakeholder. Due to the large amount of information in ensemble forecasts, this task is a major challenge in particular when time is limited during ongoing flood events.

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Case

Description

Application

Comments

HM-RR

Hydrological Modeling (Rainfall Runoff) according a classical HBV approach based on operator splitting

Rainfall runoff model in variational data assimilation

Optimization variables << model states, therefore, preference for sequential setup, requirement for 1st-order derivatives only

HM-FR

Hydrological Modeling (Flow Routing) with various variable-parameter routing schemes

Hydrological flow routing as component in distributed hydrological models with variational data assimilation, flow routing between and downstream of reservoirs

Optimization variables << model states, therefore, preference for a sequential setup, but also need for collocated setup between reservoirs, 2nd-order derivatives required for collocated setup

RS

Reservoir System with multi-purpose reservoirs

Short-term optimization of the reservoir systems considering multiple objectives such as flood mitigation, hydropower generation, etc.

Optimization variables in the order of the model states, preference for collocated setup and 2nd-order derivatives, optional extension to hybrid systems and stochastic optimization, simple upstream to downstream routing

CS-CON

Canal System with Continuously Operated Structure(s)

Short-term optimization of a low-land water system as operated by Dutch water boards, relevant objectives include flood mitigation and cost-aware drainage

Comparable to case RS, but with more sophisticated flow processes (hydraulic routing),

pumps instead of turbines, tidal boundaries, option for stochastic optimization

CS-DIS

Canal System with Barrier (Open / Closed)

According to CS-CON, but with discontinuous decisions, logical conditions etc.

According to CS-CON, but with dedicated mixed-integer optimization algorithms, option for stochastic optimization

CS-LES

Canal System with Lateral Extraction requests under Shortage conditions

Multi-objective water allocation

Priority based allocation using deterministic goal programming optimization algorithm, option for weighting factor based LP approach or hybrid approach

EV

Evacuation Measure Based on Uncertain Forecasts

Decision if and when an authority should initiate an evacuation measure

Application beyond the water system to address the impact of a forecast and its uncertainty on decision making

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Stakeholder workshop 7 december 2015 (

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PAO cursus Slimmer Waterbeheer met Real Time Control 14 maart 2016

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RTC Tools workshop Nelen&Schuurmans: 30 maart 2016

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RTC-Tools workshop Int.Deltares Software Days 2017

 

RTC-Tools 2 software framework

Anchor
Release
Release

Release overview (available at https://pypi.org/project/rtc-tools):

  • RTC-Tools 2.2.0 beta1 released on May 26, 2018
  • RTC-Tools 2.2.0 beta2 released on June 16, 2018 (using Pymoca 0.2.7)
  • RTC-Tools 2.2.0 beta3 released on Aug 24, 2018  (using Pymoca 0.2.8)
  • RTC-Tools 2.2.0 beta4 released on Sep 25, 2018  (using Pymoca 0.3)
  • RTC-Tools 2.2.0 rc1 (release candidate 1) November, 5, 2018 (using Pymoca 0.3)
  • RTC-Tools 2.2.0 (final release) November 18, 2018 (using Pymoca 0.3)
  • RTC-Tools 2.2.1 (first bug fix), November 26, 2018 (using Pymoca 0.3)
  • RTC-Tools 2.3.0 alpha 1 (development version), released on November 18, 2018 (using pymoca 0.4)

 

Associated URLs:

Code dependencies are all managed within the installation package. RTC-Tools 2.2 has a strong co-development relation with pymoca.

 

Publications

Project deliverables

Publications related to this project

  • Application of Goal Programming Approach in Hydro-economic Optimization: A case study of the Citarum Reservoirs Operation Rules (MSc. thesis report, Tiarravanni Hermawan)

  • Quick Scan Tool for water allocation in the Netherlands, Gijsbers, P.J.A., J.H. Baayen, G.J. ter Maat. reviewed version Published In: Hřebiček, J. R. Denzer, G. Schimak (eds): Environmental Software Systems ISESS 2017, IFIP AICT 507 pp.97-109, Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-89935-0_9.
  • Real-Time Flood Control by Tree-Based Model Predictive Control Including Forecast uncertainty: A Case Study Reservoir in Turkey, G. Uysal, R.Alvarado-Montero, D.Schwanenberg, A.Sensoy, Published in: Water 2018, 10, 340: https://doi.org/10.3390/w10030340
  • Short-term control of a storage hydropower under flodd risk by multi-stage stochastic optimization, G.Uysal, A. Sensoy, D.Schwanenberg, R.Alvarado-Montero, Published in: G. La Loggia, G. Freni and V.Puleo (eds) HIC2018 (EPiC Series in Engineering, Vol.XXX), pages 1-7
  • A continuation approach to nonlinear model predictive control of open channel systems, J.H.Baayen and T.Piovesan (submitted Jan 2018 to Journal of Water Resources Management, https://arxiv.org/abs/1801.06507)
  • A continuation approach to the optimization of hydropower operations J.H.Baayen, J.Rauw, and T.Piovesan (submitted May 2018, 

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Rejected submissions:

  • Optimization of Management for the Citarum Cascade Reservoirs: A Comparison of two fundamentally different methods, Tiaravanni Hermawan et al. submitted to HESS (hess-2018-340): rejected as the editor consider the article outside the scope of HESS. A similar article will be resubmitted to Journal of Hydroinformatics
  • RTC-Tools 2.0: An open source toolbox for control and multi-objective convex optimization of environmental systems under forecast uncertainty (first submission rejected by Environmental Modelling & Software, revised submission in the works)

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Contact

Peter Gijsbers (project management)

Jorn Baayen Ivo Miltenbrug & Bernhard Becker (RTC-Tools product management)