Construction of a statistical model that generates uniform Cost Key Figures for the construction of mid and low temperature district heating networks based on executed projects and similar infrastructures.

The WarmingUp innovation plan exists of 32 projects, grouped together in 6 cohesive topics. One of the projects is: Key figures for MT/LT heat networks. This project aims to develop uniform Cost Key Figures for construction of mid and low temperature district heating networks based on executed projects and similar networks infrastructures (water, gas, sewers, etc.). Accurate insights in these cost key figures are necessary for the development of innovative business models and the analyses of underlaying economic factors. Presently contractors, users of energy transition calculation tools, consultancy etc. lack an accurate and uniform overview of these key figures; resulting in wide-spread estimations of required investments.

This thesis specifically focusses on finding factors that determine the construction costs of MT/LT heating networks. These factors are determined by first analyzing the costs structure of similar already existing network infrastructures (water, gas, sewers, etc.). After analyzing the already existing infrastructures, the construction processes of the different existing infrastructures and heating networks are analyzed and compared. This comparison is used to find a relation between the factors that determine construction cost of existing infrastructures to those that determine cost of a new LT/MT heating network. The found relation and cost factors will be validated with the cost structures of already existing heating networks. The relation between these cost factors can be used to more accurately estimate the cost key figures of new MT/LT networks in specific neighborhoods based on the costs of realizing similar infrastructures in that same neighborhood with the same local restrictions.

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